Hovering over potential stroke affected and their carers.
DISCLOSURE this is a laypersons attempt to quantify, at the macro population level, possible need for carers, based on projected new stokes.
One expert group, outside the stroke treatment industry, punted on about 50K over a number of future years.
Brave attempt, so let’s say 55K and put it aside for the moment to see if other stats are reasonable.
Try this: - 65% of people who have had a stroke live with some disability.
25% of stroke patients die soon after treatment (could be extended to a year, which is our sample period)
So do the sum.
65% DISABILITY
+ 25% DEAD
= 90%
Leaving 10% independent livers. I think that is eminently reasonable.
Moving on, 4 in 10 people have a second stroke. (Thought this was an exaggeration till I realized that no time limit applied. It is also not relevant as carer help is already in place.
So back to the main game- 55K P.A new strokes minus 25% of 55K P.A. deaths
EQUALS 41K P.A.
So 41K people at risk of stroke and their needed carers (notice the plural) are subject to the title of this article.
Angus
